BRICS+ De-Dollarization Drive: How Real Is the Shift in 2026

BRICS+ now settles 67% of intra-bloc trade in local currencies as the dollar's reserve share falls to 56.3%. Explore the real shift, risks and 2026 outlook.

BRICS+ De-Dollarization Drive: How Real Is the Shift in 2026
Share
Share this article Choose a network or an app on your device.
Email

Edition: EN

The BRICS+ de-dollarization drive entered 2026 as a measurable shift, not just rhetoric. The expanded bloc—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus Indonesia, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the UAE—now represents about 48% of the world's population and over 40% of global GDP on a purchasing-power-parity basis. In early 2026, roughly 67% of intra-bloc trade is settled in local currencies, while the dollar's share of global reserves has fallen to 56.3%, its lowest since 1995, according to IMF data cited by Informed Clearly.

What Is BRICS+ and Why 2026 Is an Inflection Point?

BRICS began as a Goldman Sachs investment acronym in 2001 but is now a formal bloc rivaling the G7. In 2026, it is moving from summits to operational payment infrastructure. The New Development Bank has expanded local-currency lending, and the BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement offers a parallel liquidity pool. The 2022 freezing of $300 billion in Russian reserves remains the pivotal trigger, convincing emerging economies that dollar rails can be weaponized.

The Real Progress: BRICS Pay, mBridge and Local-Currency Settlement

Three systems define the 2026 push. BRICS Pay, a blockchain-based SWIFT alternative, launches around the 18th BRICS Summit in New Delhi in September 2026, integrating Brazil's Pix, Russia's SPFS, China's CIPS and India's UPI. The BRICS Bridge, built on mBridge, uses a UNIT token backed 40% by gold and 60% by a currency basket to settle energy and commodity trades. China's Cross-Border Interbank Payment System now connects over 1,500 institutions in 117 countries, processing RMB 175.49 trillion in 2024—up 42.6% year-on-year.

Settlement Data and Gold Accumulation

Trade data show about 67% of intra-BRICS commerce now settles outside the dollar. Saudi Arabia, which cooperates without formally confirming membership, has raised yuan-priced oil exports to China to 22% and joined mBridge. Central banks bought a record 1,237 tonnes of gold in 2025, the third straight year above 1,000 tonnes.

Why the Dollar Is Not Collapsing: Counter-Strategies and Limits

The dollar still dominates about 88% of global FX turnover and roughly half of trade invoicing. The US Treasury market remains the world's only deep, liquid safe-asset pool. Washington has threatened 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they pursue a common currency, while EU regulators accelerate digital-euro and sanctions-compliance frameworks. Analysts at the Fletcher School and MIT's Center for International Studies describe the US stance as a temporary fix, warning that coercive tariffs could accelerate the very shift they aim to stop.

Impact on Trade, Capital Flows and Financial Stability

Payment fragmentation carries real costs: parallel rails reduce capital-flow efficiency, raise transaction costs, and create interoperability risks. Emerging markets gain reduced exposure to dollar sanctions and rate shocks, but face a more segmented market where crises can spread faster. The petrodollar system is weakening as Gulf states diversify invoice currencies, according to Economic Lens.

Expert Perspectives

"The dollar's dominance is eroding at the margins, but no rival can yet replace its liquidity or safe-asset status," said one senior official at the Bank for International Settlements. "We are seeing managed fragmentation, not a clean break." Mihaela Papa, a senior fellow at The Fletcher School, cautioned that Washington's coercive approach "may backfire by pushing BRICS members to deepen their own infrastructure faster."

FAQ: BRICS+ De-Dollarization in 2026

What is de-dollarization?

De-dollarization is reducing reliance on the US dollar in trade invoicing, reserves, and payments by using local currencies, gold, or alternative rails.

Is BRICS creating a single currency?

No. The UNIT token is a pilot settlement mechanism, not a central-bank currency; members remain far from a common currency.

How much of BRICS trade is settled in local currencies?

About 67% of intra-bloc trade now settles outside the dollar, according to 2026 trade data.

Will the US dollar collapse?

No. The dollar still accounts for about 88% of global FX turnover; analysts expect a gradual multipolar shift, not a collapse.

What is BRICS Pay?

BRICS Pay is a blockchain-based cross-border payment system launching around the September 2026 BRICS Summit, integrating Pix, SPFS, CIPS, and UPI.

Conclusion and 2026 Outlook

As 2026 unfolds, the de-dollarization drive is real but partial. Infrastructure exists, data shows a reserve shift, and political will has hardened—yet the dollar retains unmatched liquidity and deep capital markets. The likely outcome is a more fragmented, multipolar monetary order, not a clean replacement of the greenback.

Closely related