Iran War Update: Trump Declares Conflict 'Almost Over' as Markets Rally | Breaking News

President Trump declares Iran war 'almost over' as markets rally. Oil prices surge past $100 with Strait of Hormuz closed. Mojtaba Khamenei appointed Iran's new supreme leader amid ongoing conflict.

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What is the Current Status of the Iran War?

The ongoing conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran entered its ninth day on March 9, 2026, with President Donald Trump declaring the war is 'almost over' and markets responding with significant rallies. The that began on February 28 has created global economic turmoil, particularly affecting energy markets as the critical Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to commercial shipping.

Trump's Declaration and Market Reaction

In a statement to CBS News, President Donald Trump stated that American and Israeli forces are 'very far ahead of schedule' with their air campaign against Iran. 'The war in Iran is almost over,' Trump declared, noting that what was initially expected to last four to five weeks appears to be concluding much faster. This announcement triggered immediate market reactions, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing 0.5% higher at 47,740.74 points after losing nearly 2% earlier in the day. The S&P 500 recovered 0.8% to 6,795.99 points, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 1.4% to 22,695.95 points.

Energy Market Volatility

The conflict has created unprecedented volatility in global energy markets. Brent crude oil prices surged past $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022, reaching as high as $119.25 at one point before settling around $111. This represents a 60% increase since the conflict began on February 28. The has disrupted approximately 20% of global oil supplies and 25% of seaborne LNG trade, creating the most significant oil supply disruption in history.

New Leadership in Iran

Mojtaba Khamenei Appointed Supreme Leader

Iran's Assembly of Experts has appointed Mojtaba Khamenei, the 57-year-old second son of the assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as the country's new supreme leader. The appointment marks an unprecedented family leadership transition in the Islamic Republic's history. Mojtaba Khamenei has operated quietly behind the scenes for years, cultivating influence within the security establishment and particularly the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Israeli officials immediately responded to the appointment, with Israel's ambassador to the United Nations Danny Danon stating that Khamenei represents a continuation of his father's 'regime's cruelty' and would be considered a 'target.' Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed 'rock-solid support' for the new Iranian leader.

Nuclear Concerns

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chief Rafael Grossi revealed that approximately half of Iran's highly enriched uranium is stored underground near the central city of Isfahan. Grossi estimates that more than 200 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60% is stored in the Isfahan tunnel complex, which was attacked by Israel and the United States last year but hasn't been heavily bombarded in the current conflict.

Global Economic Impact

G7 Response and Strategic Reserves

The G7 nations are preparing to release strategic oil reserves to stabilize global markets. Finance ministers from the group of advanced economies held an online meeting to discuss coordinated action, marking what would be only the sixth time in history such coordinated releases have occurred. French Finance Minister Roland Lescure stated, 'We are ready to take all necessary measures, including the use of strategic reserves to stabilize the market.'

Regional and Global Market Effects

The conflict has triggered widespread economic consequences:

  • European Markets: The Amsterdam AEX fell 1.9% while other European indices experienced significant declines
  • Asian Markets: Pakistan's stock exchange suspended trading after the benchmark index fell 9,780 points (6.21%)
  • Aviation: Lufthansa suspended flights to Middle Eastern destinations including Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Tel Aviv through early April
  • Fuel Prices: Diesel prices in Europe approached €2.50 per liter, with gasoline nearing record levels of over €2.50 per liter

Humanitarian and Regional Consequences

The conflict has expanded beyond Iran's borders, with significant impacts on neighboring countries:

Lebanon Casualties

Lebanon has revised its death toll upward to 486 people killed and 1,313 injured since the conflict escalated. UNICEF reports that at least 83 children have been killed and 254 injured in Lebanon since March 2, with an average of more than 10 children killed daily in recent weeks. The Lebanese government has postponed parliamentary elections scheduled for May by two years due to the security situation.

Regional Attacks

Iran has conducted attacks across the region, including:

  • 32 injuries in Bahrain from drone attacks
  • Multiple drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia's Shaybah oil field
  • 15 ballistic missiles and 18 drones fired at Abu Dhabi, with most intercepted
  • Continued rocket attacks from Hezbollah into central Israel

Diplomatic and Security Developments

NATO and Turkey

NATO has confirmed intercepting missiles heading toward Turkey for the second time, with debris falling near Gaziantep. Turkey appears to be pursuing de-escalation rather than invoking NATO's Article 5 collective defense clause. 'Turkey is trying to de-escalate,' reported Europe correspondent Stefan de Vries. 'Ankara wants to prevent this conflict from becoming a NATO war.'

European Evacuations

The European Commission has chartered aircraft for repatriation flights, with 356 European citizens evacuated from Oman to Romania. Twenty-three countries, including the Netherlands, Belgium, and France, have requested repatriation assistance through the EU's RescEU mechanism.

FAQ: Iran War 2026

When did the Iran war start?

The current conflict began on February 28, 2026, with US-Israeli airstrikes against Iranian targets.

What is the status of the Strait of Hormuz?

The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed to commercial shipping, disrupting 20% of global oil supplies. Iran's Revolutionary Guards have declared ship passages 'not allowed' since February 28.

Who is Iran's new supreme leader?

Mojtaba Khamenei, the 57-year-old second son of assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, was appointed on March 8, 2026, by Iran's Assembly of Experts.

How have oil prices been affected?

Brent crude surged past $100 per barrel, reaching as high as $119.25, representing a 60% increase since the conflict began.

What is the G7 doing about oil prices?

The G7 is preparing coordinated releases of strategic oil reserves to stabilize markets, with finance ministers holding emergency meetings to coordinate response measures.

Sources

This report is based on information from BNR Nieuwsradio, Reuters, Associated Press, CNBC, Al-Monitor, and official statements from government and international organizations. Additional context from Wikipedia's analysis of the economic impact and Strait of Hormuz background.

Middle East conflict Strait of Hormuz blockade

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