New climate risk disclosure regulations are transforming corporate reporting, with California's SB 253 and SB 261 laws requiring comprehensive emissions and risk disclosures starting 2026. Companies must implement scenario analysis and face investor pressure for transparent climate risk assessment.

Major Regulatory Shift in Climate Risk Reporting
In a landmark development for corporate transparency, new regulations are fundamentally changing how companies must disclose climate-related risks to investors. The regulatory landscape has undergone significant transformation in 2025, with both federal and state-level requirements creating new obligations for businesses to assess and report their climate vulnerabilities.
The SEC's Evolving Climate Disclosure Framework
The Securities and Exchange Commission's climate-related disclosure rules, adopted in March 2024, have faced substantial legal challenges throughout 2025. 'The regulatory uncertainty has created a complex environment for companies trying to navigate their disclosure obligations,' noted corporate governance expert Dr. Sarah Chen. Acting SEC Chairman Mark Uyeda questioned the Commission's authority to adopt the rules in February 2025, and by March, the SEC voted to withdraw its defense of the rules entirely.
However, a coalition of 18 states and the District of Columbia intervened to uphold the rules, leading the Eighth Circuit to place the litigation in abeyance. In July 2025, the SEC submitted a status report stating it did not intend to review or reconsider the rules but declined to commit to enforcing them if they survived judicial review. The litigation remains paused until the SEC reconsiders or resumes defending the rules.
California's Comprehensive Climate Disclosure Laws
While federal regulations face uncertainty, California has emerged as a leader in climate disclosure requirements. The state's SB 253 and SB 261 laws represent the most comprehensive climate disclosure framework in the United States. 'California is setting the standard for climate transparency that other states and potentially the federal government will likely follow,' stated environmental attorney Michael Rodriguez.
SB 253 applies to companies with over $1 billion in annual global revenue doing business in California, requiring phased greenhouse gas emissions reporting. Scope 1 and 2 emissions disclosures begin in 2026, with Scope 3 emissions following in 2027. The law includes increasing third-party assurance requirements to ensure data accuracy.
SB 261 affects companies with over $500 million in revenue and mandates biennial climate-related financial risk reports starting January 2026. Companies must assess material climate risks using established frameworks like the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) or IFRS S2, covering governance, strategy, risk management, and metrics.
The Role of Scenario Analysis in Climate Risk Assessment
Scenario analysis has become a critical tool for companies navigating the new disclosure requirements. Recent research published in ScienceDirect reveals that firms conducting climate scenario analyses have higher market valuations, indicating investors value these disclosures. 'Investors are increasingly demanding robust climate risk assessments, and scenario analysis provides the forward-looking perspective they need,' explained investment analyst Jennifer Martinez.
The BSR Climate Scenarios 2025 report provides critical analysis for businesses, incorporating the latest Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) 2024 data. The analysis features four key scenarios: Current Policies, Net Zero 2050, Delayed Transition, and the newly introduced Fragmented World scenario. The Fragmented World scenario depicts a future where global climate action falters due to divergent national policies and weak international coordination, accelerating both physical and transition risks.
Investor Implications and Market Response
The new disclosure requirements are fundamentally changing how investors evaluate companies. 'Climate risk is now a mainstream financial consideration, not just an environmental issue,' emphasized portfolio manager David Thompson. Morgan Stanley's Institute for Sustainable Investing has developed comprehensive frameworks for integrating climate scenario analysis into investment processes, helping institutional investors assess climate risks and opportunities.
Companies that effectively implement climate scenario analysis and transparent disclosure are seeing tangible benefits. The research shows that firms using quantitative scenarios rather than qualitative approaches receive more positive market valuations when they incorporate insights into their strategy. This distinction highlights the importance of robust, data-driven climate risk assessment.
Implementation Challenges and Compliance Timelines
Companies face significant challenges in implementing the new requirements. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) is currently developing implementing regulations for SB 253 and SB 261, with draft regulations expected in mid-October 2025 and public comment open until November 30. 'The phased implementation gives companies time to build the necessary systems and processes, but the complexity shouldn't be underestimated,' warned compliance consultant Amanda Foster.
Approximately 5,300 companies will be subject to SB 253 and 10,000 to SB 261, representing a substantial portion of the U.S. economy. The laws apply to both public and private companies meeting specified revenue thresholds, creating comprehensive climate disclosure requirements that will affect businesses nationwide.
Global Context and Future Outlook
The U.S. developments occur against a backdrop of increasing global climate disclosure requirements. Internationally, 36 jurisdictions have adopted International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) sustainability standards, and European Union regulations like the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) and Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD) require climate reporting from 2025 onward.
'We're witnessing a fundamental shift in corporate reporting worldwide, with climate risk becoming a core component of financial disclosure,' observed international policy expert Dr. Robert Kim. The convergence of global standards suggests that comprehensive climate risk disclosure will become the norm rather than the exception for companies operating internationally.
As companies prepare for the 2026 implementation deadlines, the focus is shifting from compliance to strategic advantage. Organizations that effectively manage and disclose their climate risks are positioning themselves for long-term resilience and investor confidence in an increasingly climate-conscious market.